Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.218947 0.251671 0.288561 0.333414 0.386719 0.448345 0.525417
2025-11-02 0.168109 0.210699 0.263931 0.336166 0.432885 0.559722 0.741663
2025-11-09 0.138500 0.184300 0.245843 0.336254 0.468550 0.659700 0.965616
2025-11-16 0.118044 0.164459 0.230431 0.333636 0.495921 0.750077 1.196854
2025-11-23 0.102431 0.148133 0.216153 0.328294 0.515759 0.830642 1.432522
2025-11-30 0.093507 0.139950 0.212086 0.337033 0.558508 0.956836 1.784788
2025-12-07 0.083435 0.128408 0.200745 0.331281 0.574372 1.037976 2.075208
2025-12-14 0.076508 0.120893 0.194692 0.333220 0.603915 1.151059 2.469964
2025-12-21 0.070314 0.113758 0.188186 0.332998 0.628822 1.260238 2.894950
2025-12-28 0.066268 0.109760 0.186532 0.341430 0.672583 1.420634 3.510083
2026-01-04 0.062264 0.105340 0.183478 0.346477 0.710009 1.576369 4.180309
2026-01-11 0.058748 0.101394 0.180762 0.351675 0.748728 1.745871 4.970722
2026-01-18 0.056031 0.098716 0.180304 0.361947 0.802576 1.973361 6.077848
2026-01-25 0.052772 0.094683 0.176707 0.364857 0.839524 2.167962 7.192666
2026-02-01 0.049581 0.090449 0.172188 0.364936 0.869375 2.352414 8.390544
2026-02-08 0.046454 0.086031 0.166771 0.362051 0.890787 2.518861 9.632480
2026-02-15 0.043390 0.081455 0.160508 0.356169 0.902723 2.659578 10.867204
2026-02-22 0.041841 0.079843 0.160490 0.365791 0.961749 2.983056 13.268307
2026-03-01 0.039237 0.075782 0.154588 0.359458 0.971612 3.134584 14.898259
2026-03-08 0.037452 0.073314 0.152042 0.361593 1.008622 3.404846 17.494981
2026-03-15 0.035654 0.070661 0.148789 0.361348 1.038145 3.658879 20.280430
2026-03-22 0.034582 0.069511 0.148956 0.370635 1.102232 4.088523 24.845999
2026-03-29 0.033356 0.067909 0.147863 0.376195 1.155143 4.495848 29.856549